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Motorola Solutions, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MSI
NYSETechnologyCommunication EquipmentCIK 0000068505motorolasolutions.comAbout MSI
Last close · Oct 16, 2026463.10+6.71 (+1.47%)
Market cap$76.6B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
286.83
Motorola Solutions closed at $463.10 — overvalued by 61% vs model.
175.68the model's range676.40

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
52.54 – 765.64
Wall St. target
530.00 13% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.05%
Past 2 years
low 0.78%high 1.23%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.84Sep ’21$3.16Sep ’22$3.52Sep ’23$3.92Sep ’24$4.36Sep ’25$4.84TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
28.3%
Raised
14 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
11.3% a year
Last change
+11.0% · Dec 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.21, paid Oct 15, 2026

Research on MSI

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~8% recent)Moderate margins (18% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 3.8x)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
36.3×
EV / EBITDA
24.0×
FCF yield
3.3%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.05%
Beta
0.89
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.38%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-22Piper Sandler · target531.00
08-26Evercore ISI · target550.00
08-07Truist Financial · target545.00
01-05Piper Sandler · “Overweight” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

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One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just MSI. No account.

About Motorola Solutions

Motorola Solutions, Inc. delivers essential communication and data analysis capabilities vital for critical operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. The company structures its extensive operations into two primary segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration division offers a comprehensive suite of infrastructure, various devices, accessories, and video security solutions, alongside expert services for the deployment and seamless integration of systems, hardware, software, and specialized applications. This segment caters to governmental bodies, public safety agencies, and commercial enterprises that rely on private communication networks, advanced video security systems, and robust tools for managing mobile workforces. Their product portfolio spans land mobile radio (LMR) communication equipment, such as portable and vehicle-mounted two-way radios, as well as video security and access control hardware, including fixed and mobile cameras. It also encompasses core radio network software and central processing systems, base stations, consoles, and repeaters, in addition to sophisticated video analytics, network video management hardware and software, and access control solutions. Conversely, the Software and Services segment focuses on providing critical support and advanced software. This includes hardware repair, comprehensive technical assistance, and ongoing maintenance. Furthermore, the segment delivers proactive monitoring, regular software updates, and robust cybersecurity services. It develops specialized public safety and enterprise command center software, unified communications applications, and video software solutions, which are accessible through both on-premise installations and cloud-based "as a service" models. Like the product division, this segment also serves government, public safety, and commercial clientele. Motorola Solutions, Inc. was established in 1928, initially operating as Motorola, Inc. before adopting its current name in January 2011. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Chicago, Illinois.

CEO
Gregory Q. Brown
Headquarters
Chicago, IL
Employees
23,000
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.