Valuation models
price $399.30 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused125.20 – 202.97157.28154% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y132.37 – 209.95164.43143% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y222.96 – 247.78235.0470% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y202.73 – 245.31223.0279% overvaluedP/E · peers328.72 – 380.59346.7415% overvaluedP/E · own history265.54 – 415.71339.2118% overvaluedPEG—181.24120% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers358.96 – 458.87365.689% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers438.33 – 523.13485.3418% undervaluedEarnings power value15.15 – 47.2028.421305% overvaluedDividend discount40.77 – 92.2158.26585% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—393.002% aboveCost of capital (WACC)—8.73%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 154% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
157.28
Marriott International closed at $399.30 — overvalued by 154% vs model.
125.20the model's range202.97
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
28.42 – 485.34
Wall St. target
393.00 2% above
Above model, 1y
26 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~5% recent)Moderate margins (10% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.