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Lululemon Athletica Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

LULU
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalApparel - RetailCIK 0001397187corporate.lululemon.comAbout LULU
Last close · Oct 16, 202697.10−1.99 (−2.01%)
Market cap$11.2B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
205.68
Lululemon closed at $97.10 — undervalued by 53% vs model.
139.55the model's range434.87

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
76.89 – 366.63
Wall St. target
100.00 3% below
Below model, 1y
94 of 94 days

Price and model value

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Research on LULU

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~7% recent)Decelerated from ~20% 5y CAGRModerate margins (14% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (8.2%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026
P/E
7.3×
EV / EBITDA
4.1×
FCF yield
8.0%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.00%
Beta
0.92
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.41%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-08BMO Capital · target70.00
09-04Robert W. Baird · target115.00
09-04Bernstein · target115.00
07-16Truist Securities · “Sell” from “Hold”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists LULU as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just LULU. No account.

About Lululemon

Lululemon Athletica Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, specializes in the design, global distribution, and retail of athletic apparel and accessories for both women and men. Its business operations are structured into two main divisions: company-owned retail establishments and direct-to-consumer sales. The firm's offerings encompass a range of clothing such as pants, shorts, tops, and jackets, all crafted for promoting a healthy lifestyle and facilitating athletic endeavors. These activities span yoga, running, training, and other physically demanding pursuits. Beyond apparel, Lululemon also supplies fitness-related accessories and a selection of footwear. Customers can acquire Lululemon products through numerous channels. These include a global network of corporate-managed stores, outlet locations, and seasonal warehouse sales. The company also sells through an interactive digital workout platform and via wholesale partnerships with entities like yoga studios, health clubs, and fitness centers. Further sales occur through temporary pop-up shops, as well as various licensing and supply agreements. A significant portion of sales is conducted directly with consumers through dedicated mobile applications and its primary e-commerce website, lululemon.com. By January 30, 2022, Lululemon boasted 574 stores operating under its brand name across numerous international markets. These markets span the United States, Canada, the People's Republic of China, Australia, the United Kingdom, Japan, New Zealand, Germany, South Korea, Singapore, France, Malaysia, Sweden, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway, and Switzerland. Founded in 1998, Lululemon Athletica Inc. maintains its corporate base in Vancouver, Canada.

CEO
Heidi O'Neill
Headquarters
Vancouver, BC
Employees
39,000
IPO
2007-07-27
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.