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Deckers Outdoor Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

DECK
NYSEConsumer CyclicalApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesCIK 0000910521deckers.comAbout DECK
Last close · Oct 16, 202685.71−0.87 (−1.00%)
Market cap$11.7B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
124.74
Deckers Brands closed at $85.71 — undervalued by 31% vs model.
92.56the model's range210.64

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
59.48 – 182.68
Wall St. target
120.00 29% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Moderate growth (~13% recent)Moderate margins (19% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (9.4%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026
P/E
12.2×
EV / EBITDA
7.0×
FCF yield
8.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.00%
Beta
1.12
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.57%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-16Raymond James · target105.00
10-15UBS · target140.00
09-08BMO Capital · target70.00
07-13Jefferies · “Buy” from “Hold”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

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About Deckers Brands

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, operating with its subsidiaries, is a global enterprise dedicated to the creation, promotion, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Its product lines serve both casual everyday needs and specialized high-performance activities. The company manages a portfolio of prominent brands: Under the UGG label, it offers premium footwear, clothing, and related items. Teva is known for its range of sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk provides comfortable, relaxed casual shoes and sandals. For the athletic segment, particularly ultra-runners and other athletes, Hoka supplies specialized footwear and apparel. Lastly, Koolaburra features fashionable casual footwear, often incorporating plush materials. Deckers employs a multi-faceted sales approach. Its products are available through wholesale channels, including major department stores, independent outdoor and action sports retailers, large national retail chains, and various third-party online platforms. Concurrently, the company engages directly with consumers via its own network of physical retail outlets and e-commerce websites. Globally, Deckers extends its reach across the United States, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America, leveraging a broad network of distributors and retailers. As of March 31, 2022, its direct-to-consumer footprint included 149 retail locations worldwide, comprising 75 concept stores and 74 outlet stores. Established in 1973, Deckers Outdoor Corporation maintains its corporate headquarters in Goleta, California.

CEO
Stefano Caroti
Headquarters
Goleta, CA
Employees
6,000
IPO
1993-10-15
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.