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Freeport-McMoRan Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

FCX
NYSEBasic MaterialsCopperCIK 0000831259fcx.comAbout FCX
Last close · Oct 16, 202669.54−0.52 (−0.74%)
Market cap$100.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
50.90
Freeport-McMoRan closed at $69.54 — overvalued by 37% vs model.
36.26the model's range86.18

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
13.10 – 95.31
Wall St. target
75.00 7% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.76%
Past 2 years
low 0.75%high 2.06%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.28Oct ’21$0.60Oct ’22$0.60Oct ’23$0.60Oct ’24$0.60Oct ’25$0.53TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
77.5%
Raised
—
Growth, 5 yrs
14.0% a year
Last change
−46.7% · Oct 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.08, paid Nov 2, 2026

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~5% recent)Moderate margins (16% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
—
EV / EBITDA
12.3×
FCF yield
1.1%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.76%
Beta
1.39
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.71%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-08UBS · target88.00
10-07Morgan Stanley · target75.00
10-06Barclays · target83.00
04-24Morgan Stanley · “Equal Weight” from “Overweight”downgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

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About Freeport-McMoRan

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. is a prominent mining enterprise conducting extensive operations across North America, South America, and Indonesia. The company primarily focuses on the exploration and extraction of key mineral resources such as copper, gold, molybdenum, and silver, alongside other valuable metals. Additionally, it maintains a significant presence in the oil and gas sector. Its diverse portfolio of assets features the notable Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia; numerous sites in the United States including Morenci, Bagdad, Safford, Sierrita, and Miami in Arizona; Tyrone and Chino in New Mexico; and Henderson and Climax in Colorado. In South America, its holdings include Cerro Verde in Peru and El Abra in Chile. Beyond its mineral interests, Freeport-McMoRan operates a collection of oil and gas properties, predominantly situated off the coasts of California and in the Gulf of Mexico, managing approximately 135 wells as of December 31, 2021. Founded in 1987 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, the company adopted its current name, Freeport-McMoRan Inc., in July 2014, having previously operated as Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc.

CEO
Kathleen L. Quirk
Headquarters
Phoenix, AZ
Employees
29,000
IPO
1995-07-10
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.