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BWX Technologies, Inc. — Stock Analysis: Intrinsic Value, Grades & Financials

BWXT
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseCIK 0001486957bwxt.comAbout BWXT
Quant grade ?B
Last close · Oct 30, 2026130.70−7.23 (−5.24%)
00

Summary

BWXT at a glance

written from the figures on this page · updated nightly

BWX Technologies (BWXT) holds a Quant grade of B (model v1, Oct 30), on a scale from S, the best, to D. It closed at $130.70 on Oct 30, 2026, overvalued by 96% vs model: DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y puts it at $66.79 a share. The other 10 models range from $15.66 to $138.86, and the median analyst target is $187.00 from 6 firms.

In Q2 FY2026, the latest quarter on file, revenue grew 18% on a year earlier to $901.6M, with an operating margin of 10.0%. Over the twelve months to Q2 FY2026, free cash flow was $316.8M.

Among the superinvestors tracked here, Polen Capital reduced and Bridgewater reduced. Insiders sold $1.7M and made no open-market purchases over the last 90 days. The latest filing is a 10-Q/A (quarterly report (amended)), filed Aug 5.

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close
Market value
$12.0B
52-week range
$123.05 – $241.82
−46% from the high
P/E, trailing
33.7×
close ÷ 12-month EPS
EV / EBITDA
24.3×
last fiscal year
Price / sales
3.4×
trailing 12 months
Price / FCF
37.8×
trailing 12 months
Dividend yield
0.81%
trailing 12 months
Beta
0.74
Shares, diluted
0.09B
Avg. volume
1.1M
Price change1M −4.5%6M −39.6%YTD −24.4%1Y −38.8%2Y +6.2%
01

Valuation

All 11 models →

BWX Technologies closed at $130.70, overvalued by 96% vs model (DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y, 66.79).

Today
–
Valuation grade
site models · —
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
66.79
overvalued by 96% vs model
52.22the model's range89.21

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow.

Beside it
Other models
15.66 – 138.86
Wall St. target
187.00 30% below
Above model, past year
0 of 0 days
Valued as
Mature & Stable

Every model

the price against each
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused$66.7996% overvalued
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y$78.8666% overvalued
DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y$102.7827% overvalued
DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y$112.2416% overvalued
P/E · peers$103.1027% overvalued
EV/EBITDA · peers$93.3140% overvalued
EV/Revenue · peers$60.35117% overvalued
PEG$82.0259% overvalued
P/E · own history$138.866% undervalued
Earnings power value$15.66735% overvalued
Dividend discount$27.18381% overvalued

Against its peers and its past

BWXTPeers' medianOwn 5-yr median
P/E · last fiscal year36.4×26.9×28.6×
Free cash flow yield2.5%4.4%
Operating margin10.1%10.2%
Revenue growth18.3%6.9%

Peers are the comparable companies below; the five-year median is at each fiscal year's close.

What the price implies

17.4% a year

The free cash flow growth for five years, then a fade to 2.5%, at which today's price is a fair value — discounted at 7.7%. The reverse DCF →

Risk-free rate
4.94%
Beta × equity premium
0.82 × 4.14%
Cost of equity
8.35%
Cost of debt
4.94%
Equity weight
86%
WACC
7.74%
02

Quant

Quant grade over time →

Quant grade B from model v1, set before the Oct 30 open. S is the best, D the worst. What the grade means

Today
B
Quant grade
model v1 · Oct 30
Sessions on file
B
Industrials, 72 stocks graded
19S
28A
21B
4C
0D
Comparable companies
  • HIIB
  • GDA
  • NOCA
  • LMTS
  • LHXB
  • CEGA
03

Growth and forecasts

Every estimate →

Analysts expect revenue to grow 12.4% a year over the next 3 years, against 8.5% a year over the last five.

Revenue, reported and expected
FY2024$2.7BFY2025$3.2BFY2026E$3.8BFY2027E$4.1BFY2028E$4.5B
ReportedConsensus, with the analysts' low–high
The consensus, year by year
RevenueGrowthEPSGrowthAnalysts
FY2024$2.7B+8.3%$3.07+14.6%reported
FY2025$3.2B+18.3%$3.59+16.9%reported
FY2026E$3.8B+19.0%$4.74+24.1%13
FY2027E$4.1B+8.9%$5.24+10.5%14
FY2028E$4.5B+9.7%$5.97+13.9%14
Revenue, last 5 years
8.5% a year
Consensus, next 3 years
12.4% a year

The analysts' estimates, as FMP collects them — their figures, not this site's. Reported EPS is GAAP diluted.

04

Financials

Full statements →

In Q2 FY2026, the latest quarter on file, revenue grew 18% on a year earlier to $901.6M, with an operating margin of 10.0%. Over the twelve months to Q2 FY2026, free cash flow was $316.8M.

Last 8 quarters
Q3 ’24$672.0MQ4 ’24$746.3MQ1 ’25$682.3MQ2 ’25$764.0M+29%Q3 ’25$866.3M+19%Q4 ’25$885.8M+26%Q1 ’26$861.1M+18%Q2 ’26$901.6M14.4%12.4%14.2%13.4%10.6%8.1%10.0%10.0%
Revenue, % change on the same quarter a year earlierOperating margin
Twelve months to Q2 FY2026
LatestYear beforeChange
Revenue$3.5B$2.9B+23%
Operating income$299.9M$387.9M−23%
Net income$356.1M$294.4M+21%
Free cash flow$316.8M$360.3M−12%
Diluted EPS$3.88$3.20+21%
Cash and investments
$608.2M
Total debt
$2.0B
Revenue$3.2B
FY2018–20253 yr +12.7%/yr5 yr +8.5%/yr
Operating income$323.2M
FY2018–20253 yr −2.5%/yr5 yr −2.1%/yr
Net income$329.9M
FY2018–20253 yr +11.5%/yr5 yr +3.4%/yr
Diluted EPS$3.59
FY2018–20253 yr +11.4%/yr5 yr +4.3%/yr
Operating cash flow$479.8M
FY2018–20253 yr +25.2%/yr5 yr +19.6%/yr
Free cash flow$295.3M
FY2018–20253 yr +85.3%/yr5 yr n/m

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 30, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.81%
Past 2 years
low 0.43%high 1.09%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.82Aug ’21$0.87Aug ’22$0.91Aug ’23$0.95Aug ’24$0.99Aug ’25$1.06TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
31.3%
Raised
10 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
5.3% a year
Last change
+8.0% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.27, paid Sep 4, 2026
05

Profitability and health

Every ratio →

Operating margin 10.1% in fiscal 2025, against 16.3% in 2021; net debt of $1.4B at the latest quarter.

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Trend
Gross margin25.9%24.7%24.9%24.2%22.9%
Operating margin16.3%15.6%15.3%14.1%10.1%
Net margin14.4%10.7%9.8%10.4%10.3%
Return on equity48.0%31.8%26.3%26.1%26.8%
Debt to equity1.87×1.72×1.30×0.98×1.64×
Interest coverage9.67×9.57×8.14×9.64×7.31×
Current ratio1.68×2.10×2.18×1.96×2.32×
Net debt, latest quarter
$1.4B
Diluted shares, a year
−0.0%
a fall is a buyback, a rise dilution
Diluted shares, five years
−4.0%
06

Peers

Peers in full →

BWXT beside 6 comparable companies, chosen by business, not by industry label.

CompanyMarket valueP/EFCF yieldGross marginOp. marginRevenue growthValuationQuant
BWXT BWX Technologies, Inc.$12.0B36.4×2.5%22.9%10.1%+18.3%–B
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation$147.1B29.6×4.7%10.2%10.3%+5.7%AS
GD General Dynamics Corporation$100.8B24.1×3.9%15.1%10.2%+10.1%BA
CEG Constellation Energy Corporation$93.0B35.5×1.4%18.4%12.1%+8.3%CA
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation$79.2B19.2×4.2%19.8%10.2%+2.2%SA
LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc.$51.7B32.5×5.2%25.7%9.8%+2.5%CB
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.$12.5B20.6×6.4%12.7%4.9%+8.2%SB
07

Ownership

Every holder →
What 13F filers did in the quarter
Polen Capitalreduced$7.2M
Bridgewaterreduced$3.2M
Torrayadded$2.3M
Insiders, last 90 days
Open-market buys
None
Sales
$1.7M
4 filings, plan sales included
08

Wall Street

Every firm →

6 firms published a price target in the last 90 days: the median is $187.00, 43% above the close.

Price targets, 6 firms, last 90 days
low $170.00median $187.00 · 43% above the closehigh $220.00
Firms' latest grades, 12 months
7 positive3 neutral0 negative3 upgrades · 1 downgrades

Third-party ratings and targets, quoted as the firms published them — not this site's view.

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-06Truist Financial · target182.00
10-01Oppenheimer · target210.00
09-30Northland Securities · target220.00
08-27Wells Fargo · “Equal Weight” from “Underweight”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates
09

News and filings

All news →
10

About

Company profile →

BWX Technologies, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the production and sale of nuclear components across the United States, Canada, and other international regions. The company's multifaceted operations are categorized into three distinct segments: Nuclear Operations Group, Nuclear Power Group, and Nuclear Services Group. The Nuclear Operations Group is a pivotal supplier of precision naval and critical nuclear components, including reactors, nuclear fuel, and assemblies, primarily supporting the United States Department of Energy/National Nuclear Security Administration's Naval Nuclear Propulsion Program. This segment also fabricates missile launch tubes for U.S. Navy submarines, produces specialized close-tolerance equipment for various nuclear applications, and is involved in converting Cold War-era stockpiles of high-enriched uranium. Its responsibilities further extend to the receiving, storage, characterization, dissolution, recovery, and purification of uranium-bearing materials, alongside providing research reactor fuel elements for academic and national laboratories, and other defense-related components. The Nuclear Power Group caters to the commercial nuclear sector, offering a comprehensive range of products such as nuclear steam generators, fuel, fuel handling systems, pressure vessels, reactor components, heat exchangers, tooling delivery systems, and specialized containers. This group provides engineering and in-plant services for nuclear power facilities, overseeing the design, manufacturing, commissioning, and servicing of nuclear power generation equipment. It also delivers essential in-plant inspection, maintenance, and modification services, non-destructive examination, and tooling/repair solutions. Moreover, it is a key provider of medical radioisotopes and radiopharmaceuticals for research, diagnostic, and therapeutic applications. Finally, the Nuclear Services Group focuses on critical support functions, encompassing nuclear materials processing, environmental site remediation, and comprehensive management and operating services. This segment is also dedicated to advancing technology for nuclear power sources and plays a role in the design, engineering, licensing, and manufacturing of nuclear reactors. Founded in 1867 as The Babcock & Wilcox Company, the corporation adopted its current name, BWX Technologies, Inc., in June 2015, and is headquartered in Lynchburg, Virginia.

CEO
Rex D. Geveden
Employees
10,400
Headquarters
Lynchburg, VA
Listed
2010

Research on BWXT

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Model estimates and grades for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; each section is explained in the manual.