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Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

ALAB
NASDAQTechnologySemiconductorsCIK 0001736297asteralabs.comAbout ALAB
Last close · Oct 16, 2026285.82−16.16 (−5.35%)
Market cap$49.6B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
41.76
Astera Labs closed at $285.82 — overvalued by 585% vs model.
31.78the model's range61.12

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
41.66 – 107.87
Wall St. target
425.00 33% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $285.82 · as of Oct 17, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input. The price is 585% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Research on ALAB

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How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
High revenue growth (~171% recent)High profitability (26% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for high-growth companies
Price / sales
55.8×
Revenue growth
115.1%
Gross margin
75.7%
Operating margin
20.3%
FCF margin
33.1%
EV / EBITDA
220×
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
08-17Northland Capital Markets · “Outperform” from “Market Perform”upgrade
08-17Northland Securities · target350.00
08-05RBC Capital · target500.00
08-05Roth Capital · target450.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just ALAB. No account.

About Astera Labs

Astera Labs, Inc. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure. Its core offering, the Intelligent Connectivity Platform, comprises a comprehensive portfolio of data, network, and memory connectivity products. These are unified by a software-defined architecture, which empowers customers to seamlessly deploy and operate high-performance cloud and AI systems at scale. Established in 2017, the company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

CEO
Jitendra Mohan
Headquarters
Santa Clara, CA
Employees
756
IPO
2024-03-20
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.