Valuation models
price $187.25 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused113.19 – 186.77136.8437% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y109.83 – 175.32131.5842% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y155.59 – 169.62162.4215% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y139.32 – 162.22150.2225% overvaluedP/E · peers124.76 – 207.98137.4036% overvaluedP/E · own history119.74 – 174.76138.9135% overvaluedPEG—149.2125% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers115.54 – 152.63122.9352% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers103.70 – 133.40117.5659% overvaluedEarnings power value33.66 – 57.8743.02335% overvaluedDividend discount69.32 – 229.21111.2668% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—178.005% aboveCost of capital (WACC)—6.62%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
136.84
ExxonMobil closed at $187.25 — overvalued by 37% vs model.
113.19the model's range186.77
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
43.02 – 162.42
Wall St. target
178.00 5% above
Above model, 1y
30 of 31 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-2% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.