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Xcel Energy Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

XEL
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricCIK 0000072903my.xcelenergy.com/sAbout XEL
Last close · Oct 16, 202676.31+1.19 (+1.58%)
Market cap$47.7B
Model value · P/E · own history
80.44
Xcel Energy closed at $76.31 — undervalued by 5% vs model.
74.23the model's range87.68

P/E · own history leads for a regulated utility. From its own five-year median P/E applied to its earnings.

Other models
10.86 – 87.83
Wall St. target
87.00 12% below
Below model, 1y
4 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
3.08%
Past 2 years
low 2.72%high 3.68%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$1.80Sep ’21$1.92Sep ’22$2.05Sep ’23$2.16Sep ’24$2.26Sep ’25$2.35TTM
Coverage
—
Raised
22 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
5.4% a year
Last change
+3.9% · Mar 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.5925, paid Oct 20, 2026

Research on XEL

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How it is valued

Valued asRegulated utility
Low/slowing growth (~2% recent)Moderate margins (11% net margin)Pays dividendsModerately volatile earningsNegative free cash flow
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for utilities
P/E
22.3×
EV / EBITDA
12.6×
FCF yield
-15.2%
Dividend yield, TTM
3.08%
Beta
0.37
Cost of capital (WACC)
6.06%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Barclays · target85.00
10-14Truist Financial · target87.00
10-13KeyBanc · target87.00
02-13UBS · “Buy” from “Neutral”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just XEL. No account.

About Xcel Energy

Xcel Energy Inc., through its various operating units, functions as a multifaceted energy company involved in the complete cycle of electricity – from its production and procurement to its transmission, delivery, and eventual sale. Its business is organized into three main divisions: Regulated Electric Utility, Regulated Natural Gas Utility, and a final "All Other" segment. The company employs a diverse range of energy sources for electricity generation, including traditional options like coal, nuclear power, natural gas, and oil, as well as a strong focus on renewables such as hydroelectric, solar, biomass, wood/refuse, and wind. In addition to its electric services, Xcel Energy is active in the natural gas sector, managing the acquisition, pipeline transport, distribution, and retail sales of natural gas. It also offers transportation services for natural gas owned by its customers. The firm's operations also encompass the creation and leasing of critical natural gas infrastructure, including pipelines, storage depots, and compression facilities. Furthermore, Xcel Energy diversifies its investments into rental housing ventures and is responsible for sourcing necessary equipment for the construction of new renewable power facilities. Serving a broad customer base that includes residential households, commercial enterprises, and industrial clients, the company's service area covers specific geographic regions in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, and Wisconsin. Xcel Energy provides electricity to approximately 3.7 million customers and supplies natural gas to around 2.1 million consumers. The company, founded in 1909, maintains its headquarters in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Robert C. Frenzel
Headquarters
Minneapolis, MN
Employees
11,534
IPO
2001-03-13
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.