Valuation models
price $123.51 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused37.08 – 61.1246.50166% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y39.31 – 64.3049.11151% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y74.46 – 81.8878.0758% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y68.99 – 82.3875.3664% overvaluedP/E · peers52.76 – 102.5653.86129% overvaluedP/E · own history87.67 – 118.20104.3418% overvaluedPEG—28.65331% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers71.52 – 133.6175.8163% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers84.67 – 147.72119.274% overvaluedEarnings power value17.87 – 30.0322.75443% overvaluedDividend discount15.46 – 44.1623.81419% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—127.003% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.64%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 166% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
46.50
Walmart closed at $123.51 — overvalued by 166% vs model.
37.08the model's range61.12
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
22.75 – 119.27
Wall St. target
127.00 3% below
Above model, 1y
32 of 32 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~5% recent)Thin margins (3.1% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.