Valuation models
price $399.66 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused252.67 – 350.28291.0137% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y242.78 – 317.12272.3647% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y287.10 – 307.86297.2234% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y261.83 – 291.35275.9645% overvaluedP/E · peers253.29 – 328.44257.3955% overvaluedP/E · own history179.93 – 1,251.51528.1724% undervaluedPEG—1,480.1273% undervaluedEV/EBITDA · peers192.96 – 228.22206.9793% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers265.73 – 292.73283.6741% overvaluedEarnings power value116.46 – 185.53144.13177% overvaluedDividend discount95.88 – 231.53144.12177% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—443.0010% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.54%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
291.01
Valero Energy closed at $399.66 — overvalued by 37% vs model.
252.67the model's range350.28
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
144.12 – 1,480.12
Wall St. target
443.00 10% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-8% recent)Thin margins (1.9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.