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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

UAL
NASDAQIndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air ServicesCIK 0000100517united.comAbout UAL
Valuation grade ?S
Quant grade ?B
Last close · Oct 30, 2026104.24−0.97 (−0.92%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
227.27
United Airlines Holdings closed at $104.24 — undervalued by 54% vs model.
171.66the model's range319.73

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
92.19 – 330.90
Wall St. target
150.00 31% below
Below model, 1y
30 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~5% recent)Decelerated from ~31% 5y CAGRModerate margins (6% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 2.0x)Strong FCF yield (7.6%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.