SweetValueLab
Write for us

Target Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

TGT
NYSEConsumer DefensiveDiscount StoresCIK 0000027419corporate.target.comAbout TGT
Valuation grade ?B
Quant grade ?A
Last close · Oct 30, 2026154.24+2.42 (+1.59%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
127.92
Target closed at $154.24 — overvalued by 21% vs model.
101.41the model's range168.19

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
85.69 – 228.75
Wall St. target
169.00 9% below
Above model, 1y
16 of 32 days

How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Revenue declining (~-1% recent)Thin margins (3.5% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.