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Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

SWK
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesCIK 0000093556stanleyblackanddecker.comAbout SWK
Last close · Oct 16, 202692.48−0.27 (−0.29%)
Market cap$14.0B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
59.30
Stanley Black & Decker closed at $92.48 — overvalued by 56% vs model.
32.84the model's range127.05

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for dividend payer — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
38.30 – 140.21
Wall St. target
97.50 5% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
3.60%
Past 2 years
low 2.95%high 5.85%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.89Sep ’21$3.17Sep ’22$3.21Sep ’23$3.25Sep ’24$3.29Sep ’25$3.33TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
72.8%
Raised
40+ years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
2.9% a year
Last change
+1.2% · Sep 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.84, paid Sep 22, 2026

Research on SWK

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How it is valued

Valued asDividend Payer
Revenue declining (~-2% recent)Thin margins (2.7% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026
P/E
34.9×
EV / EBITDA
15.4×
FCF yield
4.9%
Dividend yield, TTM
3.60%
Beta
1.17
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.31%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Mizuho Securities · target105.00
10-06Morgan Stanley · target100.00
09-11Wells Fargo · target95.00
07-08Wolfe Research · “Peer Perform” from “Underperform”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists SWK as a comparable

The weekly

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About Stanley Black & Decker

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a global enterprise primarily engaged in two core business segments: Tools & Storage and Industrial operations. Its geographical footprint extends across the United States, Canada, the wider Americas region, France, the rest of Europe, and Asia. The Tools & Storage segment provides a comprehensive array of products catering to both professional and consumer markets. For professionals, offerings include high-grade corded and cordless electric power tools, essential equipment, pneumatic tools, and fastening solutions. Consumers can access corded and cordless electric power tools, notably under the BLACK+DECKER brand, alongside lawn and garden equipment, related accessories, various home products, hand tools, power tool accessories, and storage units. This division distributes its merchandise through a diverse network comprising retailers, distributors, and dealers, supplemented by a direct sales force. Its customer base spans professional end-users, distributors, dealers, retail consumers, and various industrial clients. The company's Industrial segment delivers specialized engineered fastening systems and related products to key sectors such as automotive, manufacturing, electronics, construction, and aerospace. It also specializes in the sale and rental of custom equipment for pipe handling, joint welding, and coating used in pipeline construction, while simultaneously offering pipeline inspection services. Furthermore, this segment supplies hydraulic tools and high-performance heavy equipment attachments. Clients for this segment primarily include the oil and natural gas pipeline industry, alongside other industrial customers. Additionally, Stanley Black & Decker markets automatic door solutions to commercial enterprises. Founded in 1843, the company initially operated as The Stanley Works before adopting its current name, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., in March 2010. Its corporate headquarters are located in New Britain, Connecticut.

CEO
Christopher John Nelson
Headquarters
New Britain, CT
Employees
43,500
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.