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Steel Dynamics, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

STLD
NASDAQBasic MaterialsSteelCIK 0001022671steeldynamics.comAbout STLD
Valuation grade ?D
Quant grade ?A
Last close · Oct 30, 2026250.80−2.73 (−1.08%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
134.59
Steel Dynamics closed at $250.80 — overvalued by 86% vs model.
114.36the model's range161.92

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
42.13 – 356.32
Wall St. target
276.00 9% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-2% recent)Moderate margins (7% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.