Valuation models
price $129.90 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused12.12 – 75.9932.44300% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y17.52 – 80.4037.89243% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y65.60 – 77.5371.4082% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y60.06 – 81.7570.3785% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers13.04 – 46.6225.59408% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers7.18 – 82.9834.67275% overvaluedEarnings power value22.92 – 80.8644.77190% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—142.009% belowCost of capital (WACC)—6.10%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 300% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
32.44
J.M. Smucker closed at $129.90 — overvalued by 300% vs model.
12.12the model's range75.99
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
25.59 – 71.40
Wall St. target
142.00 9% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~5% recent)Currently unprofitableStrong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (8.3%)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.