Valuation models
price $282.83 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused376.82 – 563.99436.5235% undervaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y391.35 – 555.51448.2337% undervaluedP/E · peers112.59 – 159.88148.2191% overvaluedP/E · own history183.33 – 576.39359.1121% undervaluedPEG—817.3365% undervaluedEV/EBITDA · peers85.57 – 162.73107.24164% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers18.23 – 50.2531.50798% overvaluedDividend discount96.64 – 223.12143.1498% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—292.003% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.54%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
436.52
Phillips 66 closed at $282.83 — undervalued by 35% vs model.
376.82the model's range563.99
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
31.50 – 817.33
Wall St. target
292.00 3% below
Below model, 1y
2 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-5% recent)Thin margins (3.3% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.