Valuation models
price $256.82 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused160.14 – 269.69203.2026% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y177.39 – 295.51223.8415% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y233.09 – 257.59245.015% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y237.42 – 284.58259.871% undervaluedP/E · peers100.40 – 142.31113.18127% overvaluedP/E · own history145.95 – 238.64206.3024% overvaluedPEG—211.2322% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers156.72 – 177.93161.2059% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers57.18 – 100.5675.34241% overvaluedEarnings power value62.75 – 113.5583.20209% overvaluedDividend discount94.40 – 222.94138.5285% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—289.0011% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.69%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
203.20
Packaging Corporation of America closed at $256.82 — overvalued by 26% vs model.
160.14the model's range269.69
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
75.34 – 259.87
Wall St. target
289.00 11% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~7% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.