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PulteGroup, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

PHM
NYSEConsumer CyclicalResidential ConstructionCIK 0000822416pultegroupinc.comAbout PHM
Valuation grade ?A
Quant grade ?A
Last close · Oct 30, 2026124.74+0.38 (+0.31%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
147.19
PulteGroup closed at $124.74 — undervalued by 15% vs model.
125.01the model's range178.35

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
15.58 – 157.88
Wall St. target
137.00 9% below
Below model, 1y
30 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Moderate margins (13% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (7.4%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.