SweetValueLab
Write for us

PulteGroup, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

PHM
NYSEConsumer CyclicalResidential ConstructionCIK 0000822416pultegroupinc.comAbout PHM
Last close · Oct 16, 2026113.55+0.56 (+0.50%)
Market cap$21.6B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
216.28
PulteGroup closed at $113.55 — undervalued by 47% vs model.
161.54the model's range348.81

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
19.51 – 227.80
Wall St. target
138.00 18% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

Embed this card

PHM's close against its model value, as a 420×168 card for your own page. It updates nightly with this site and links back here.

Free to embed; keep the attribution link.
Loading chart…
What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $113.55 · as of Oct 17, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused161.54 – 348.81216.2847% undervaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y173.47 – 356.58227.8050% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y130.90 – 269.38194.3942% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y152.13 – 290.22211.1346% undervaluedP/E · peers120.28 – 146.83132.9315% undervaluedP/E · own history67.07 – 108.1785.0933% overvaluedPEG—80.5241% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers122.29 – 156.14142.8120% undervaluedEV/Revenue · peers66.23 – 125.9484.8334% overvaluedEarnings power value106.78 – 142.41121.847% undervaluedDividend discount13.94 – 29.7219.51482% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—138.0018% belowCost of capital (WACC)—9.67%—

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.92%
Past 2 years
low 0.54%high 0.95%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.56Sep ’21$0.60Sep ’22$0.64Sep ’23$0.80Sep ’24$0.88Sep ’25$1.04TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
10.1%
Raised
8 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
13.2% a year
Last change
+18.2% · Dec 2025
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.26, paid Oct 2, 2026

Research on PHM

No posts on PHM yet.
Studied PHM from its filings? Guest posts are reviewed before they go live.Write about PHM →

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Moderate margins (13% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (8.1%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
10.2×
EV / EBITDA
6.5×
FCF yield
7.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.92%
Beta
1.16
Cost of capital (WACC)
9.67%
On the lists: #18 Lowest P/E · #20 Near 52-week lows
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F · Q2 2026
All 4 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-12Goldman Sachs · target138.00
10-08Piper Sandler · target145.00
10-06Melius Research · target132.00
08-24Wolfe Research · “Outperform” from “Peer Perform”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Recent

filings, insider trades and key news
49 filings · 40 insider transactions

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
DHID. R. HortonLENLennarNVRNVRBLDRBuilders FirstSourceMASMasco

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just PHM. No account.

About PulteGroup

PulteGroup, Inc. engages in the homebuilding business. The firm is also involved in mortgage banking and title and insurance brokerage operations. It operates through the Homebuilding and Financial services business segments. The Homebuilding segment includes operations from Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, Texas, Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico, and Washington. The Financial Services segment is composed of mortgage banking and title operations. The company was founded by William J. Pulte in 1950 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

CEO
Ryan R. Marshall
Headquarters
Atlanta, GA
Employees
6,506
IPO
1980-03-17
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.