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NVR, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

NVR
NYSEConsumer CyclicalResidential ConstructionCIK 0000906163nvrinc.comAbout NVR
Last close · Oct 16, 20265,919.82−21.01 (−0.35%)
Market cap$15.9B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
8,627.79
NVR closed at $5,919.82 — undervalued by 31% vs model.
6,335.97the model's range14,856.28

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
2,870.26 – 8,922.93
Wall St. target
7,125.00 17% below
Below model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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Daily close

Research on NVR

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How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Moderate margins (13% net margin)Moderately volatile earningsStrong FCF yield (6.9%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025 · chosen for cyclical companies
P/E
13.6×
EV / EBITDA
7.7×
FCF yield
6.4%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.00%
Beta
0.90
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.96%
On the lists: #31 Insider buying
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-01Morgan Stanley · target5,058.00
09-22BTIG · target7,125.00
07-24UBS · target7,400.00
07-07Zelman & Assoc · “Buy” from “Hold”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just NVR. No account.

About NVR

NVR, Inc. functions as a prominent home construction company within the United States, organized into two primary divisions: homebuilding and mortgage banking. Within its homebuilding segment, the company develops and sells various residential units, including detached houses, townhouses, and condominium complexes, marketed under the brand names Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes. Ryan Homes typically targets individuals purchasing their first home or those in their initial property upgrade, while NVHomes and Heartland Homes cater to a more affluent clientele of move-up and luxury buyers. Additionally, NVR offers a range of financial services to its homebuilding customers through its mortgage banking arm, which includes brokering title insurance, performing title searches for loan settlements, and transferring mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets without retaining servicing rights. The company's operational footprint spans numerous states and the District of Columbia, encompassing Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, and Tennessee. Established in 1980, NVR, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Reston, Virginia.

CEO
Eugene James Bredow
Headquarters
Reston, VA
Employees
6,300
IPO
1985-07-22
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.