Valuation models
price $101.91 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused69.64 – 110.8286.0018% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y80.38 – 126.5598.733% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y166.17 – 182.40174.0641% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y162.27 – 193.17176.9642% undervaluedP/E · peers53.13 – 90.1262.9062% overvaluedP/E · own history64.66 – 91.3174.4437% overvaluedPEG—116.5313% undervaluedEV/EBITDA · peers73.67 – 127.2897.205% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers31.99 – 43.0440.60151% overvaluedEarnings power value23.84 – 40.5130.59233% overvaluedDividend discount76.46 – 166.28109.517% undervaluedWall St. consensus target—125.0018% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.88%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
86.00
Paccar closed at $101.91 — overvalued by 18% vs model.
69.64the model's range110.82
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
30.59 – 176.96
Wall St. target
125.00 18% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-10% recent)Moderate margins (8% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (5.6%)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.