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Paychex, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

PAYX
NASDAQIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesCIK 0000723531paychex.comAbout PAYX
Last close · Oct 16, 2026111.63+0.85 (+0.77%)
Market cap$39.7B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
101.13
Paychex closed at $111.63 — overvalued by 10% vs model.
66.90the model's range206.42

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
47.83 – 156.58
Wall St. target
111.50 0% above
Above model, 1y
7 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
4.07%
Past 2 years
low 2.52%high 5.05%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.56Jul ’21$2.90Aug ’22$3.36Aug ’23$3.74Aug ’24$4.12Jul ’25$4.54TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2026
68.5%
Raised
15 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
12.1% a year
Last change
+10.2% · May 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.19, paid Aug 28, 2026

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & stable
Moderate growth (~11% recent)High profitability (28% net margin)Strong dividend yieldModerately volatile earningsStrong FCF yield (5.8%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2026 · chosen for mature companies
P/E
22.8×
EV / EBITDA
14.8×
FCF yield
5.8%
Dividend yield, TTM
4.07%
Beta
0.85
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.37%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
09-28Robert W. Baird · target110.00
09-24JP Morgan · “Neutral” from “Underweight”upgrade
09-24BMO Capital · target113.00
09-24Stifel Nicolaus · target112.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists PAYX as a comparable

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About Paychex

Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Rochester, New York, Paychex, Inc. delivers comprehensive human capital management (HCM) solutions. The company primarily serves small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across the United States, Europe, and India, addressing their needs in human resources, payroll administration, employee benefits, and insurance. Its diverse service portfolio includes: Payroll Management: Encompassing core payroll processing, payroll tax administration, employee payment facilitation, and ensuring compliance with regulations like new-hire reporting and garnishment processing. Human Resources Solutions: Providing support for employer compliance, HR and employee benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and even the availability of professionally trained on-site HR representatives. Retirement Services: Offering full administration for retirement plans, which covers implementation, ongoing adherence to government regulations, reporting for both participants and employers, online access capabilities, electronic funds transfers, and other administrative tasks. Cloud-based HR Software: A suite of software products designed for efficient HR administration, including tools for benefits management, time and attendance tracking, digital communication, recruitment, and onboarding processes. Additional Business Services: This category features plan administration outsourcing, state unemployment insurance services, and various support functions for SMBs such as payroll funding and outsourcing (including payroll processing, invoicing, and tax preparation), payment processing solutions, financial wellness programs, and a resource center for small business loans. Insurance Offerings: Providing both property and casualty coverage, which includes workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cybersecurity protection, and commercial auto insurance, alongside health and benefits coverage like medical, dental, vision, and life insurance. Paychex primarily distributes its services through its dedicated direct sales team.

CEO
John Gibson Jr.
Headquarters
Rochester, NY
Employees
17,600
IPO
1983-08-26
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.