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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

ORLY
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalSpecialty RetailCIK 0000898173oreillyauto.comAbout ORLY
Valuation grade ?B
Quant grade ?S
Last close · Oct 30, 202688.12+0.05 (+0.06%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
71.09
O'Reilly Automotive closed at $88.12 — overvalued by 24% vs model.
55.99the model's range95.12

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
21.98 – 88.29
Wall St. target
107.00 18% below
Above model, 1y
15 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~6% recent)Moderate margins (14% net margin)High leverage (D/E 5.0x)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.