Valuation models
price $5,958.56 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused6,009.81 – 8,603.347,069.1016% undervaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y6,035.04 – 8,659.657,105.7016% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y5,537.33 – 5,974.985,750.374% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y5,680.07 – 6,494.246,068.402% undervaluedP/E · peers4,727.59 – 6,362.125,592.807% overvaluedP/E · own history5,143.98 – 6,332.345,646.416% overvaluedPEG—2,717.16119% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers5,169.44 – 10,473.895,889.711% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers1,988.78 – 3,710.152,778.34114% overvaluedEarnings power value3,937.09 – 5,499.194,580.2430% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—7,125.0016% belowCost of capital (WACC)—8.50%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
7,069.10
NVR closed at $5,958.56 — undervalued by 16% vs model.
6,009.81the model's range8,603.34
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
2,717.16 – 7,105.70
Wall St. target
7,125.00 16% below
Below model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Moderate margins (13% net margin)Moderately volatile earningsStrong FCF yield (6.9%)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.