Valuation models
price $96.06 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused159.27 – 296.80210.8254% undervaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y168.36 – 305.18219.7556% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y215.88 – 239.57227.4058% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y212.49 – 256.20233.3059% undervaluedP/E · peers52.53 – 204.25147.5735% undervaluedP/E · own history37.97 – 198.55107.0510% undervaluedPEG—218.2456% undervaluedEV/EBITDA · peers151.05 – 192.69166.1842% undervaluedEV/Revenue · peers415.15 – 505.52470.7680% undervaluedEarnings power value—8.331053% overvaluedDividend discount30.50 – 61.0342.97124% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—161.5041% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.00%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
210.82
NRG Energy closed at $96.06 — undervalued by 54% vs model.
159.27the model's range296.80
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
8.33 – 470.76
Wall St. target
161.50 41% below
Below model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~3% recent)Decelerated from ~28% 5y CAGRThin margins (2.8% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 10.0x)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.