Valuation models
price $444.73 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused277.29 – 440.82339.0631% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y258.50 – 391.15308.9144% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y315.75 – 344.19329.6035% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y282.58 – 324.70302.7147% overvaluedP/E · peers138.46 – 1,250.22167.53165% overvaluedP/E · own history261.38 – 1,031.03592.8225% undervaluedPEG—523.7215% undervaluedEV/EBITDA · peers121.05 – 151.83122.90262% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers—3.6312152% overvaluedEarnings power value38.49 – 114.1568.23552% overvaluedDividend discount59.44 – 158.0589.57397% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—455.002% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.02%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
339.06
Marathon Petroleum closed at $444.73 — overvalued by 31% vs model.
277.29the model's range440.82
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
3.63 – 592.82
Wall St. target
455.00 2% below
Above model, 1y
26 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-5% recent)Thin margins (3.0% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.