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The Mosaic Company — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

MOS
NYSEBasic MaterialsAgricultural InputsCIK 0001285785mosaicco.comAbout MOS
Valuation grade ?B
Quant grade ?B
Last close · Oct 30, 202618.39+0.16 (+0.88%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
25.38
Mosaic closed at $18.39 — undervalued by 28% vs model.
17.55the model's range51.73

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
4.82 – 32.65
Wall St. target
22.00 16% below
Below model, 1y
30 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-6% recent)Thin margins (4.5% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsNegative free cash flow
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.