Valuation models
price $18.39 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused17.55 – 51.7325.3828% undervaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y8.79 – 42.4416.899% overvaluedP/E · peers12.49 – 22.7414.1730% overvaluedP/E · own history7.86 – 17.5712.2051% overvaluedPEG—4.82282% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers13.04 – 58.3525.7429% undervaluedEV/Revenue · peers2.98 – 58.1232.6544% undervaluedEarnings power value4.92 – 19.2510.2480% overvaluedDividend discount17.07 – 37.6024.8826% undervaluedWall St. consensus target—22.0016% belowCost of capital (WACC)—5.81%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
25.38
Mosaic closed at $18.39 — undervalued by 28% vs model.
17.55the model's range51.73
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
4.82 – 32.65
Wall St. target
22.00 16% below
Below model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-6% recent)Thin margins (4.5% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsNegative free cash flow
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.