Valuation models
price $149.03 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused43.40 – 63.0550.60195% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y50.69 – 73.5259.43151% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y96.86 – 106.80101.7047% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y93.52 – 111.86102.2646% overvaluedP/E · peers115.07 – 168.50134.9410% overvaluedP/E · own history99.12 – 160.84116.9527% overvaluedPEG—127.1317% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers64.48 – 90.5774.9599% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers108.60 – 172.42144.953% overvaluedEarnings power value7.69 – 17.0711.621183% overvaluedDividend discount26.26 – 53.3237.19301% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—175.0015% belowCost of capital (WACC)—9.25%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 195% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
50.60
Johnson Controls closed at $149.03 — overvalued by 195% vs model.
43.40the model's range63.05
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
11.62 – 144.95
Wall St. target
175.00 15% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~3% recent)Moderate margins (14% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.