Valuation models
price $357.03 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused92.55 – 154.28117.83203% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y115.92 – 185.86144.62147% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y173.66 – 193.33183.2395% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y182.77 – 221.15201.0578% overvaluedP/E · peers125.10 – 177.03147.95141% overvaluedP/E · own history305.80 – 429.51365.092% undervaluedPEG—197.8580% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers118.39 – 200.13127.50180% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers68.19 – 156.45117.11205% overvaluedEarnings power value14.45 – 42.4225.981274% overvaluedDividend discount9.35 – 21.5513.452554% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—383.007% belowCost of capital (WACC)—8.54%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 203% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
117.83
Hilton Worldwide closed at $357.03 — overvalued by 203% vs model.
92.55the model's range154.28
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
13.45 – 365.09
Wall St. target
383.00 7% below
Above model, 1y
27 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~8% recent)Decelerated from ~23% 5y CAGRModerate margins (12% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.0x)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.