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The Home Depot, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

HD
NYSEConsumer CyclicalHome ImprovementCIK 0000354950homedepot.comAbout HD
Valuation grade ?C
Quant grade ?S
Last close · Oct 30, 2026329.20+0.22 (+0.07%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
258.95
Home Depot closed at $329.20 — overvalued by 27% vs model.
207.48the model's range335.08

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for dividend payer — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
138.81 – 371.79
Wall St. target
381.50 14% below
Above model, 1y
18 of 32 days

How it is valued

Valued asDividend Payer
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Moderate margins (9% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.1x)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.