Valuation models
price $51.91 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused20.68 – 30.7924.75110% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y22.52 – 33.7927.0692% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y24.66 – 26.8225.71102% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y25.85 – 30.1427.9086% overvaluedP/E · peers28.47 – 56.7234.0452% overvaluedP/E · own history37.26 – 48.7242.1923% overvaluedPEG—15.66231% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers28.44 – 58.4634.1052% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers8.79 – 27.2615.78229% overvaluedEarnings power value10.28 – 14.9512.19326% overvaluedDividend discount14.71 – 43.6722.90127% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—55.006% belowCost of capital (WACC)—8.19%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
24.75
Fastenal closed at $51.91 — overvalued by 110% vs model.
20.68the model's range30.79
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
12.19 – 42.19
Wall St. target
55.00 6% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asProfitable Growth
Low/slowing growth (~6% recent)Moderate margins (15% net margin)Pays dividendsModerately volatile earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.