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Expedia Group, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

EXPE
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalTravel ServicesCIK 0001324424expediagroup.comAbout EXPE
Valuation grade ?S
Quant grade ?S
Last close · Oct 30, 2026285.93+3.20 (+1.13%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
241.35
Expedia Group closed at $285.93 — overvalued by 18% vs model.
209.95the model's range285.09

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
38.08 – 635.89
Wall St. target
330.00 13% below
Above model, 1y
19 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~7% recent)Decelerated from ~23% 5y CAGRModerate margins (9% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 5.2x)Strong FCF yield (9.5%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.