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Dow Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

DOW
NYSEBasic MaterialsChemicalsCIK 0001751788dow.comAbout DOW
Valuation grade ?S
Quant grade ?C
Last close · Oct 30, 202634.70+1.08 (+3.21%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
24.40
Dow closed at $34.70 — overvalued by 42% vs model.
15.68the model's range43.33

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
6.63 – 94.08
Wall St. target
32.00 8% above
Above model, 1y
5 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-5% recent)Currently unprofitableStrong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsNegative free cash flow
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.