Valuation models
price $133.87 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused65.99 – 119.9586.6954% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y77.23 – 135.4699.6034% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y219.51 – 242.41230.6442% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y205.43 – 247.72225.5341% undervaluedP/E · peers131.22 – 186.14142.386% undervaluedP/E · own history131.87 – 170.44146.329% undervaluedPEG—63.21112% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers125.37 – 193.92157.0915% undervaluedEV/Revenue · peers62.98 – 138.7266.81100% overvaluedEarnings power value9.00 – 29.5917.18679% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—139.004% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.29%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
86.69
Dollar Tree closed at $133.87 — overvalued by 54% vs model.
65.99the model's range119.95
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
17.18 – 230.64
Wall St. target
139.00 4% below
Above model, 1y
17 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~8% recent)Moderate margins (7% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (5.6%)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.