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Ciena Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

CIEN
NYSETechnologyCommunication EquipmentCIK 0000936395ciena.comAbout CIEN
Valuation grade ?D
Quant grade ?B
Last close · Oct 30, 2026320.72−28.73 (−8.22%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
163.84
Ciena closed at $320.72 — overvalued by 96% vs model.
142.89the model's range192.09

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
11.23 – 628.12
Wall St. target
525.00 39% below
Above model, 1y
88 of 88 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~4% recent)Thin margins (2.6% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.