Valuation models
price $123.30 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused170.15 – 290.06214.3642% undervaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y163.52 – 273.73204.2040% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y225.46 – 245.88235.3948% undervaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y203.88 – 238.33220.2744% undervaluedP/E · peers224.26 – 845.21284.5657% undervaluedP/E · own history116.30 – 178.24142.6414% undervaluedPEG—120.582% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers121.70 – 139.64135.309% undervaluedEV/Revenue · peers3.48 – 32.8831.57291% overvaluedEarnings power value90.31 – 148.17112.879% overvaluedDividend discount30.53 – 87.0046.96163% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—130.005% belowCost of capital (WACC)—6.81%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
214.36
CF Industries closed at $123.30 — undervalued by 42% vs model.
170.15the model's range290.06
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
31.57 – 284.56
Wall St. target
130.00 5% below
Below model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~3% recent)High profitability (21% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (9.7%)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.