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Amazon.com, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

AMZN
NASDAQConsumer CyclicalSpecialty RetailCIK 0001018724amazon.comAbout AMZN
Valuation grade ?S
Quant grade ?A
Last close · Oct 30, 2026240.35−3.44 (−1.41%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
132.78
Amazon closed at $240.35 — overvalued by 81% vs model.
112.91the model's range159.43

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
10.19 – 407.48
Wall St. target
341.50 30% below
Above model, 1y
94 of 107 days

How it is valued

Valued asProfitable Growth
Moderate growth (~12% recent)Moderate margins (11% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.