Valuation models
price $76.91 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused45.02 – 72.9153.8543% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y50.65 – 81.2860.9226% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y51.22 – 56.9654.0142% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y55.74 – 66.9161.0626% overvaluedP/E · peers39.94 – 59.2845.1370% overvaluedP/E · own history37.87 – 73.9656.5336% overvaluedPEG—138.2244% undervaluedEV/EBITDA · peers35.19 – 51.3950.5352% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers28.54 – 142.0246.0567% overvaluedEarnings power value26.00 – 48.0334.81121% overvaluedDividend discount42.66 – 101.3963.7921% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—79.003% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.49%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
53.85
Archer Daniels Midland closed at $76.91 — overvalued by 43% vs model.
45.02the model's range72.91
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
34.81 – 138.22
Wall St. target
79.00 3% below
Above model, 1y
15 of 25 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-8% recent)Thin margins (1.3% net margin)Pays dividendsStrong FCF yield (11.3%)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.