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Oracle — software card

ORCL
MegaRevenue $71.8B TTM4-quarter TTM
Close · Oct 16, 2026128.23P/E 20.1 · EV $503.5B
EV / revenue7.0×EV / gross profit 11.0×
Rule of 40-18growth +22% + FCF −40%
−11% below 5y medianEV / revenue vs. its own five years
Board median EV / revenue10.2×five-year median 11.8× · −14%
Median Rule of 405321 of 24 above the line
Median revenue growth18%a year ago 15% · accelerating
Median SBC / revenue11%FCF margin 30% → 16% ex-SBC
Lights on1 of 3prices Oct 16, 2026 · TTM through Aug 31, 2026

Against the line

growth + FCF margin, in points
line 40score -18
growth 22 ptFCF margin −40 pt

Growth +22% plus FCF margin −40% is -18 points, 58 below the line at 40. Counting the stock as an expense: -27 points.

Where it has traded

quarter-end EV / revenue · 20 quarters · Nov 30, 2021 → Aug 31, 2026
5×7×10×12×14×2021202220232024202520262021-11-30 · 7.2× (close 90.74 · TTM revenue 41.40B)2022-02-28 · 6.3× (close 75.97 · TTM revenue 41.83B)2022-05-31 · 5.9× (close 71.92 · TTM revenue 42.44B)2022-08-31 · 6.4× (close 74.15 · TTM revenue 44.16B)2022-11-30 · 6.8× (close 83.03 · TTM revenue 46.07B)2023-02-28 · 6.8× (close 87.40 · TTM revenue 47.96B)2023-05-31 · 7.5× (close 105.94 · TTM revenue 49.95B)2023-08-31 · 8.2× (close 120.39 · TTM revenue 50.96B)2023-11-30 · 7.9× (close 116.21 · TTM revenue 51.63B)2024-02-29 · 7.5× (close 111.68 · TTM revenue 52.51B)2024-05-31 · 7.8× (close 117.19 · TTM revenue 52.96B)2024-08-31 · 8.9× (close 141.29 · TTM revenue 53.81B)2024-11-30 · 11.1× (close 184.84 · TTM revenue 54.93B)2025-02-28 · 10.0× (close 166.06 · TTM revenue 55.78B)2025-05-31 · 9.9× (close 165.53 · TTM revenue 57.40B)2025-08-31 · 12.7× (close 226.13 · TTM revenue 59.02B)2025-11-30 · 11.4× (close 201.95 · TTM revenue 61.02B)2026-02-28 · 8.5× (close 145.40 · TTM revenue 64.08B)2026-05-31 · 11.6× (close 225.78 · TTM revenue 67.36B)2026-08-31 · 7.9× (close 149.12 · TTM revenue 71.78B)p75 10×med 8×p25 7×now 7.0×
Five-year median 7.9×, middle half 7.1–9.9×, range 5.9–12.7×. Now 7.0×: −11% below its own median, higher than 25% of those quarters.Each quarter at its own close, shares and balance sheet · the band is the 25th–75th percentile

What the cash flow really is

TTM through Aug 31, 2026 · $B
-200204060Revenue: 71.8 $B71.8RevenueCost of revenue: −25.9 $B−25.9Cost ofrevenueGross profit: 45.9 $B45.9GrossprofitR&D: −10.2 $B−10.2R&DSales & G&A: −9.7 $B−9.7Sales &G&AOther operating: −2.8 $B−2.8OtheroperatingOperating income: 23.2 $B23.2OperatingincomeAdd back SBC: 6.0 $B6.0Add backSBCD&A & working cap.: 17.7 $B17.7D&A &working cap.Operating cash flow: 46.9 $B46.9Operatingcash flowCapex: −75.7 $B−75.7CapexFCF: −28.7 $B−28.7FCFLess SBC: −6.0 $B−6.0LessSBCFCF ex-SBC: −34.7 $B−34.7FCFex-SBC
FCF -28.72B − SBC 5.97B = -34.69B ex-SBC · operating income 23.23B is the GAAP figure after SBC

Against its scale group

ORCL (blue) vs. the other Mega companies on the board (4), grey
Revenue growth+22% vs. +14%
Gross margin64% vs. 79%
FCF margin−40% vs. +34%
SBC / revenue8% vs. 7%
Rule of 40-18 vs. 48
EV / revenue7.0× vs. 6.3×

Group averages are the plain mean of the other companies in the same scale group with a usable window.

Quarter by quarter

8 quarters · Nov 30, 2024 → Aug 31, 2026 · a gap is a dropped quarter
Revenue, $B19.34
Growth YoY, quarter+30%
FCF margin, quarter−28%
SBC / revenue, quarter6%