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Autodesk — software card

ADSK
LargeRevenue $7.8B TTM4-quarter TTM
Close · Oct 16, 2026239.90P/E 31.1 · EV $50.4B
EV / revenue6.5×EV / gross profit 7.1×
Rule of 4054growth +18% + FCF +36%
−31% below 5y medianEV / revenue vs. its own five years
Board median EV / revenue10.2×five-year median 11.8× · −14%
Median Rule of 405321 of 24 above the line
Median revenue growth18%a year ago 15% · accelerating
Median SBC / revenue11%FCF margin 30% → 16% ex-SBC
Lights on0 of 3prices Oct 16, 2026 · TTM through Aug 31, 2026

Against the line

growth + FCF margin, in points
line 40score 54
growth 18 ptFCF margin 36 pt

Growth +18% plus FCF margin +36% is 54 points, 14 above the line at 40. Counting the stock as an expense: 45 points.

Where it has traded

quarter-end EV / revenue · 20 quarters · Oct 31, 2021 → Jul 31, 2026
4×8×12×16×20×2021202220232024202520262021-10-31 · 17.0× (close 317.61 · TTM revenue 4.21B)2022-01-31 · 12.9× (close 249.79 · TTM revenue 4.39B)2022-04-30 · 9.4× (close 189.28 · TTM revenue 4.57B)2022-07-31 · 10.3× (close 216.32 · TTM revenue 4.74B)2022-10-31 · 9.7× (close 214.30 · TTM revenue 4.90B)2023-01-31 · 9.4× (close 215.16 · TTM revenue 5.00B)2023-04-30 · 8.4× (close 194.79 · TTM revenue 5.10B)2023-07-31 · 8.9× (close 211.99 · TTM revenue 5.21B)2023-10-31 · 8.1× (close 197.63 · TTM revenue 5.35B)2024-01-31 · 10.0× (close 253.81 · TTM revenue 5.50B)2024-04-30 · 8.3× (close 212.85 · TTM revenue 5.64B)2024-07-31 · 9.4× (close 247.52 · TTM revenue 5.80B)2024-10-31 · 10.5× (close 283.80 · TTM revenue 5.96B)2025-01-31 · 11.1× (close 311.34 · TTM revenue 6.13B)2025-04-30 · 9.4× (close 274.25 · TTM revenue 6.35B)2025-07-31 · 9.9× (close 303.11 · TTM revenue 6.61B)2025-10-31 · 9.5× (close 301.34 · TTM revenue 6.89B)2026-01-31 · 7.5× (close 252.87 · TTM revenue 7.21B)2026-04-30 · 6.7× (close 237.00 · TTM revenue 7.51B)2026-07-31 · 6.3× (close 234.20 · TTM revenue 7.79B)p75 10×med 9×p25 8×now 6.5×
Five-year median 9.4×, middle half 8.3–10.1×, range 6.3–17.0×. Now 6.5×: −31% below its own median, higher than 5% of those quarters.Each quarter at its own close, shares and balance sheet · the band is the 25th–75th percentile

What the cash flow really is

TTM through Jul 31, 2026 · $B
02468Revenue: 7.8 $B7.8RevenueCost of revenue: −0.7 $B−0.7Cost ofrevenueGross profit: 7.1 $B7.1GrossprofitR&D: −1.7 $B−1.7R&DSales & G&A: −3.2 $B−3.2Sales &G&AOther operating: −0.1 $B−0.1OtheroperatingOperating income: 2.1 $B2.1OperatingincomeAdd back SBC: 0.7 $B0.7Add backSBCD&A & working cap.: 0.0 $B0.0D&A &working cap.Operating cash flow: 2.9 $B2.9Operatingcash flowCapex: −0.1 $B−0.1CapexFCF: 2.8 $B2.8FCFLess SBC: −0.7 $B−0.7LessSBCFCF ex-SBC: 2.1 $B2.1FCFex-SBC
FCF 2.83B − SBC 0.71B = 2.13B ex-SBC · operating income 2.15B is the GAAP figure after SBC

Against its scale group

ADSK (blue) vs. the other Large companies on the board (14), grey
Revenue growth+18% vs. +27%
Gross margin91% vs. 74%
FCF margin+36% vs. +33%
SBC / revenue9% vs. 15%
Rule of 4054 vs. 60
EV / revenue6.5× vs. 19.6×

Group averages are the plain mean of the other companies in the same scale group with a usable window.

Quarter by quarter

8 quarters · Oct 31, 2024 → Jul 31, 2026 · a gap is a dropped quarter
Revenue, $B2.05
Growth YoY, quarter+16%
FCF margin, quarter+27%
SBC / revenue, quarter9%