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The Trade Desk, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

TTD
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesCIK 0001671933thetradedesk.comAbout TTD
Valuation grade ?B
Quant grade ?A
Last close · Oct 30, 202612.29−0.77 (−5.90%)
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
8.73
Trade Desk closed at $12.29 — overvalued by 41% vs model.
7.73the model's range10.15

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a high-growth company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
2.90 – 124.60
Wall St. target
14.00 12% below
Above model, 1y
6 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
High revenue growth (~22% recent)Moderate margins (15% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsStrong FCF yield (13.7%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.