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Nebius Group N.V. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

NBIS
NASDAQTechnologySoftware - ApplicationCIK 0001513845nebius.com/companyAbout NBIS
Valuation grade ?D
Quant grade ?C
Last close · Oct 30, 2026154.14−17.85 (−10.38%)

Valuation models

price $154.14 · as of Nov 2, 2026
PEG—124.1124% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peersused—17.61775% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers8.39 – 130.9169.65121% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—328.0053% belowCost of capital (WACC)—9.64%—

EV/EBITDA · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers returned no positive value. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 775% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine build:07a9d3f952ed
Model value · EV/EBITDA · peers
17.61
Nebius Group closed at $154.14 — overvalued by 775% vs model.
17.61the model's range17.61

EV/EBITDA · peers leads because DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y could not lead: the cash-flow gate is shut (an operating loss, or three years of free cash flow summing below zero); P/E · peers returned no positive value. From its peers' median EV/EBITDA.

Other models
69.65 – 124.11
Wall St. target
328.00 53% below
Above model, 1y
18 of 18 days

How it is valued

Valued asHigh growth
High revenue growth (~403% recent)Moderate margins (19% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsNegative free cash flow
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.