Valuation models
price $540.41 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused162.19 – 255.54197.36174% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y131.33 – 202.26158.99240% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y345.97 – 383.64364.3048% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y228.42 – 276.47251.32115% overvaluedP/E · peers170.58 – 294.09266.81103% overvaluedP/E · own history462.70 – 579.13532.571% overvaluedPEG—158.75240% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers237.26 – 325.37285.7589% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers108.56 – 177.15162.02234% overvaluedEarnings power value52.26 – 111.3576.64605% overvaluedDividend discount43.75 – 96.0161.82774% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—629.0014% belowCost of capital (WACC)—8.56%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 174% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
197.36
Martin Marietta Materials closed at $540.41 — overvalued by 174% vs model.
162.19the model's range255.54
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
61.82 – 532.57
Wall St. target
629.00 14% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-2% recent)Moderate margins (17% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.