Valuation models
price $278.55 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused143.89 – 219.07174.6060% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y149.88 – 226.08181.0354% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y255.05 – 279.97267.184% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y232.66 – 275.82253.2110% overvaluedP/E · peers255.53 – 379.00304.338% undervaluedP/E · own history251.34 – 286.54270.433% overvaluedPEG—94.42195% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers277.82 – 335.59301.788% undervaluedEV/Revenue · peers180.22 – 328.42232.3620% overvaluedEarnings power value68.53 – 109.9085.56226% overvaluedDividend discount79.98 – 180.64114.12144% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—277.001% aboveCost of capital (WACC)—8.48%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for dividend payer — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
174.60
Illinois Tool Works closed at $278.55 — overvalued by 60% vs model.
143.89the model's range219.07
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for dividend payer — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
85.56 – 304.33
Wall St. target
277.00 1% above
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asDividend Payer
Revenue declining (~-0% recent)Moderate margins (19% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 2.8x)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.