Valuation models
price $199.36 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused68.63 – 95.0579.50151% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y83.87 – 116.4897.40105% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y152.70 – 166.80159.5625% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y156.54 – 184.44169.8217% overvaluedP/E · peers107.37 – 198.90127.8656% overvaluedP/E · own history200.02 – 289.20257.7323% undervaluedPEG—113.2976% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers64.07 – 124.24114.3974% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers9.51 – 65.9443.35360% overvaluedDividend discount8.22 – 17.9811.951568% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—343.0042% belowCost of capital (WACC)—9.44%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 151% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
79.50
Howmet Aerospace closed at $199.36 — overvalued by 151% vs model.
68.63the model's range95.05
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
11.95 – 257.73
Wall St. target
343.00 42% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 30 days
How it is valued
Valued asProfitable Growth
Moderate growth (~11% recent)Moderate margins (18% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.