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Garmin Ltd. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

GRMN
NYSETechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsCIK 0001121788garmin.comAbout GRMN
Last close · Oct 16, 2026284.79−0.43 (−0.15%)
Market cap$54.9B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
218.16
Garmin closed at $284.79 — overvalued by 31% vs model.
146.60the model's range479.15

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
89.17 – 375.96
Wall St. target
316.00 10% below
Above model, 1y
17 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
1.37%
Past 2 years
low 1.20%high 1.83%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$2.56Sep ’21$2.80Sep ’22$2.92Sep ’23$2.96Sep ’24$3.30Sep ’25$3.90TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
48.7%
Raised
8 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
8.8% a year
Last change
+16.7% · Jun 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $1.05, paid Sep 25, 2026

Research on GRMN

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How it is valued

Valued asProfitable Growth
Moderate growth (~18% recent)High profitability (23% net margin)Pays dividendsModerately volatile earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
33.2×
EV / EBITDA
25.5×
FCF yield
2.5%
Dividend yield, TTM
1.37%
Beta
0.83
Cost of capital (WACC)
8.76%
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F

None of the tracked managers reported a position in their latest 13F.

All 0 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-14Arete Research · target335.00
08-06UBS · target370.00
07-30Morgan Stanley · target289.00
02-19Morgan Stanley · “Equal Weight” from “Underweight”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
1 more company lists GRMN as a comparable

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just GRMN. No account.

About Garmin

Garmin Ltd. specializes in the design, development, manufacturing, marketing, and global distribution of diverse wireless products and solutions. Its operations span across North and South America, the Asia Pacific region, the Australian Continent, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company's offerings are organized into several key segments: Fitness: This division caters to athletes and active individuals with products like specialized running and multi-sport watches, cycling computers, activity trackers, smartwatches, and various fitness-related accessories. Additionally, it supports these offerings with its Garmin Connect web and mobile platforms, alongside Connect IQ, an ecosystem for app development. Outdoor: Garmin's Outdoor category features rugged adventure watches, portable GPS devices, golf-specific instruments and accompanying mobile applications, plus specialized dog tracking and training systems. Aviation: The Aviation sector delivers comprehensive avionics solutions for aircraft, encompassing integrated cockpit systems, advanced flight displays and instrumentation, navigation and communication tools, automated flight controls, safety enhancements, audio management, engine monitoring, traffic and weather avoidance systems, ADS-B transponders, data connectivity, portable GPS navigators, wearable aviation devices, and related support services. Marine: For the Marine market, Garmin provides a suite of solutions including chartplotters, multi-function displays, marine cartography, fish finders, sonar technology, autopilots, radar systems, compliant instrumentation and sensors, VHF radios, handheld and wearable marine devices, sailing-specific products, onboard entertainment, digital switching, and electric trolling motors. Auto: The Automotive segment focuses on in-vehicle computing and infotainment systems, personal navigation units, and various camera solutions. Garmin's products are distributed through a diverse network including independent and online retailers, authorized dealers, distributors, service and installation centers, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and directly via its official e-commerce platform, garmin.com. Established in 1989, Garmin Ltd. maintains its corporate headquarters in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.

CEO
Clifton Albert Pemble
Headquarters
Schaffhausen, SH
Employees
23,000
IPO
2000-12-08
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.