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Comfort Systems USA, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

FIX
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionCIK 0001035983comfortsystemsusa.comAbout FIX
Last close · Oct 16, 20261,439.07−42.20 (−2.85%)
Market cap$50.6B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
869.12
Comfort Systems USA closed at $1,439.07 — overvalued by 66% vs model.
649.62the model's range1,375.40

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
42.63 – 1,603.39
Wall St. target
2,100.00 31% below
Above model, 1y
20 of 20 days

Price and model value

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What the marks mean
Daily close

Valuation models

price $1,439.07 · as of Oct 17, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused649.62 – 1,375.40869.1266% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y841.43 – 1,766.861,124.3528% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y1,025.93 – 1,744.701,357.136% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y1,179.54 – 2,161.081,603.3910% undervaluedP/E · peers836.30 – 1,371.15914.9057% overvaluedP/E · own history917.55 – 1,817.911,181.6922% overvaluedPEG—1,226.4917% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers731.36 – 1,028.86796.4481% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers506.82 – 818.69555.76159% overvaluedEarnings power value126.57 – 158.94140.55924% overvaluedDividend discount30.80 – 58.8142.633276% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—2,100.0031% belowCost of capital (WACC)—11.04%—

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for profitable growth — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How we value a stock walks through every input.

engine pkg:0.1.0

Dividends

Quarterly · as of Oct 16, 2026
Yield, trailing 12 months
0.21%
Past 2 years
low 0.11%high 0.46%
Dividends per share, a year at a time
$0.46Aug ’21$0.54Aug ’22$0.75Aug ’23$1.10Aug ’24$1.70Aug ’25$3.00TTM
Dividends / free cash flow, FY2025
6.7%
Raised
13 years in a row
Growth, 5 yrs
45.5% a year
Last change
+12.5% · Aug 2026
Every payment, with ex-dates · latest $0.90, paid Aug 24, 2026

Research on FIX

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How it is valued

Valued asProfitable Growth
High revenue growth (~32% recent)Moderate margins (11% net margin)Moderately volatile earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
49.8×
EV / EBITDA
34.5×
FCF yield
2.0%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.21%
Beta
1.66
Cost of capital (WACC)
11.04%
On the lists: #37 Best performing this year
Full financials

Superinvestors

13F · Q2 2026
All 3 holders

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15KeyBanc · target2,125.00
08-20UBS · target2,100.00
07-27Stifel Nicolaus · target1,910.00
04-24Keybanc · “Overweight” from “Sector Weight”upgrade
Ratings, targets and estimates

Recent

filings, insider trades and key news
52 filings · 40 insider transactions

Comparable companies

by business, not by industry label
EMEEmcorPWRQuanta ServicesJJacobs SolutionsFERFerrovial

The weekly

One email a week across every stock we cover: 13F filings, insider trades, earnings and new research. It covers the whole market, not just FIX. No account.

About Comfort Systems USA

Comfort Systems USA, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Mechanical and Electrical. It offers heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems, as well as plumbing, electrical, piping and controls, off-site construction, monitoring, and fire protection. The company is also involved in the design, engineering, integration, installation, and start-up of mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) and related systems in new buildings; and renovation, expansion, maintenance, monitoring, repair, and replacement of systems in existing buildings. In addition, it provides remote monitoring of power usage, temperature, pressure, humidity and air flow for MEP and other building systems. The company serves building owners and developers, general contractors, architects, consulting engineers, and property managers in the commercial, industrial, and institutional markets. Comfort Systems USA, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

CEO
Brian E. Lane
Headquarters
Houston, TX
Employees
22,700
IPO
1997-06-27
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.