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Ford Motor Company — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

F
NYSEConsumer CyclicalAuto - ManufacturersCIK 0000037996ford.comAbout F
Valuation grade ?D
Quant grade ?C
Last close · Oct 30, 202612.23−0.14 (−1.09%)

Valuation models

price $12.23 · as of Nov 2, 2026

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 398% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.

engine build:07a9d3f952ed
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
2.45
Ford Motor closed at $12.23 — overvalued by 398% vs model.
2.45the model's range2.45

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
1.25 – 5.66
Wall St. target
14.50 16% below
Above model, 1y
88 of 88 days

How it is valued

Valued asCyclical
Low/slowing growth (~3% recent)Currently unprofitableStrong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 4.7x)Strong FCF yield (25.6%)
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.