Valuation models
price $109.23 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused30.91 – 49.6238.56183% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y36.15 – 55.9544.28147% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y102.71 – 113.31107.861% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y91.17 – 109.4899.889% overvaluedP/E · peers8.06 – 11.9911.51849% overvaluedP/E · own history72.50 – 126.3592.3518% overvaluedPEG—83.0632% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers97.06 – 174.3398.6011% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers98.49 – 108.71100.978% overvaluedEarnings power value12.57 – 24.7617.58521% overvaluedDividend discount24.47 – 49.8834.70215% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—111.502% belowCost of capital (WACC)—8.47%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 183% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
38.56
Estée Lauder closed at $109.23 — overvalued by 183% vs model.
30.91the model's range49.62
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
11.51 – 107.86
Wall St. target
111.50 2% below
Above model, 1y
31 of 31 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & Stable
Revenue declining (~-2% recent)Thin margins (1.2% net margin)Pays dividendsHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 2.4x)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.